October 22, 2014

The Mathematics of Maharashtra

Visiting Fellow Praveen Chakravartywrites in Business Standard: "A summary of Amit Shah's master strategy that helped the BJP emerge victorious in the recent Assembly elections".

Excerpts below:

"... For the Assembly elections, the same voters were given the choice of both the BJP and Shiv Sena candidates. 5.1 million (51 per cent) chose the BJP candidate while 4.9 million (49 per cent) chose the Shiv Sena candidate. This, in essence, is the summary of the Amit Shah masterstroke that led to the BJP capturing power in the second largest electoral state in the country. This bet that, even in constituencies contested by Shiv Sena in alliance with the BJP for the last 25 years, the BJP would outscore, was the daring gambit that paid off... Much to the consternation of some BJP sympathisers who posit that the BJP's inability to win an absolute majority was not worth the breakup of the alliance with Shiv Sena, counterfactual analysis shows that the BJP would have won only 16 more seats had the votes of the BJP and Shiv Sena been combined..."

In : OP-EDS
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