Shankkar Aiyar writes in The New Indian Express that India can draw comfort from the low case mortality and recovery rate as indeed in the drop in infections from over 97,000 cases to 45,000, but that there is no room for complacency.
"For sure, India has the advantage of a younger populace and does not face the kind of winter which is setting in on the northern hemisphere. Yet, the threat of resurgence is real —given the size of its populace, given the context of densities of population and poverty and the reality of poor air quality due to pollution. The scale of contagiosity is illustrated by the series of sero survey reports — almost everyone knows of or has had someone in the family infected by COVID-19.
India is in festival season — the risks of infectious outbreaks during festivals have been recorded as early as in 1861 by the Royal Commission on health. In the past months, spikes in infection have followed after Ganesh Chaturthi in Mumbai, following Jagannath Rath Yatra in Odisha, Onam in Kerala and Dussehra in Delhi. It is with good reason that PM Narendra Modi warned in his address to the nation, “In this festive season, markets are bright again but we need to remember that the lockdown might have ended but COVID-19 still persists.”"
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